Carabao Cup Final: Preview and Odds
English football’s first piece of major silverware is up for grabs this weekend as Manchester City take on Tottenham Hotspur in the Carabao Cup final at Wembley Stadium. Manchester City have made the competition their own in recent seasons and are chasing an incredible sixth EFL Cup win in eight seasons. Here at freebet.com, we will preview the Wembley showpiece, bringing you the latest odds courtesy of our betting partner, AVABET.
No way Jose
The major news story of the week (aside from THAT one) has been the dismissal of Spurs manager, Jose Mourinho. A lot of the cup final build-up had been around the meeting of old adversaries, Mourinho and Pep Guardiola. However, Mourinho paid the price for Spurs’ dismal recent form so it is Ryan Mason that will lead Tottenham out at Wembley on Sunday.
Former Spurs player, Mason, has been placed in temporary charge until the summer but a strong finish to the campaign could see the 29-year-old offered the job on a permanent basis.
Both sides are sweating on the fitness of several key players ahead of the Wembley showpiece. Spurs’ talisman, Harry Kane, missed the mid-week win over Southampton with yet another ankle injury and Ryan Mason will have to make a decision on his former teammate. In today’s press conference, Mason explained, “Kane didn't train with the team today (Friday) but we'll have more of an idea tomorrow to see if we can get him back on the pitch.”
For Manchester City, John Stones is suspended having been sent off at Aston Villa in the Premier League whilst both Kevin de Bruyne and Sergio Aguero will face late fitness tests. De Bruyne and Aguero are back in training and likely to be named in City’s matchday squad but neither are certain starters. De Bruyne in particular has been hugely influential for Manchester City and his absence would certainly be a big miss. Aguero has sat out City’s last five games and may have to settle for a place amongst the substitutes. Gabriel Jesus is likely to lead the line for City and whilst the Brazilian is far from prolific, he will inevitably attract plenty of interest in the first goalscorer market.
If Kane is fit to start, he will certainly be amongst the favourites in the first / anytime scorer markets. However, given Kane’s lack of fitness, odds of 11/2 for him to score first may be too short. If you are looking to place a bet on any Spurs player in one of our goal-scoring markets we would recommend looking elsewhere for value. Gareth Bale scored in the win over Southampton but again there are concerns over his match sharpness having played so infrequently towards the end of Mourinho’s reign. It is therefore the third of Spurs’ main attacking trio that we are tipping to be their most potent attacking threat at Wembley. Son Heung-Min scored the winner at Southampton in mid-week and was also on the scoresheet in the 2-0 semi-final win over Brentford. The South Korean has only scored four times in the Premier League since the turn of the year but he has scored twice in his past three games against Manchester City. Son is priced at 8/1 to score first on Sunday or alternatively, the Spurs attacker can be backed at 13/5 to score at any time.
Can we expect goals at Wembley?
Traditionally the League Cup final provides plenty of entertainment and it should be noted that 13 of the past 17 finals have seen over 2.5 goals scored. At 77/100 this will be hugely popular and should certainly be considered. However, it is worth noting that the four League Cup finals with under 2.5 match goals all featured either Manchester City or Spurs.
Manchester City’s relentless charge towards multiple trophies this season has been built on one of the meanest defences in Europe. You can back City at 11/8 to win to nil on Sunday whilst a repeat of February’s 3-0 Premier League win over Spurs is a tasty 17/2.
Manchester City – 12/25
Draw – 15/4
Tottenham Hotspur – 24/5
To win the trophy
Manchester City – 3/10
Tottenham Hotspur – 12/5
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